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--- cursed-luck [2026/10/26 11:47] – removed - external edit (Unknown date) 127.0.0.1
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+====== Cursed Luck ======
+{{:abilities:cursed_luck.png?nolink }} **Cursed Luck** has a 50% chance to add a **negative** [[DRN|drn]] to the bearer's [[Defence Skill|Defence]] and [[Protection]] rolls. Why is it all lowercase? Because, fortunately for the bearer, only one six-sided die is used as the base for this effect; regular DRNs use two.
+Cursed Luck can, in fact, bring a fellow below the traditional minimum result for rolling a DRN (or even a regular 2d6). It cannot make the result negative, however; the minimum is **zero**.
+Even with only a 2-point change in the floor, Cursed Luck massively increases the likelihood of being [[protection#armor-defeating-hits|critically hit]], which requires a 2 or lower for the DRN result. Out of 1296 Cursed Luck DRNs, around 490 will be 2 or lower, around 625 will be 3 or lower, and around 758 will be 4 or lower. For 1296 regular DRNs, 36 will be 2's, 108 will be 3 or lower, and 216 will be 4 or lower. Thus:
+  * Against most units with Cursed Luck, around **20.29% of all hits** (~13/64) will be armor-defeating.
+  * Against units with Cursed Luck and 50-99 [[Fatigue]], around **28.29% of all hits** (~9/32) will be armor-defeating.
+  * Against helpless/[[Entrapment|entrapped]] units with Cursed Luck, around **37.58% of all hits** (~3/8) will be armor-defeating.
+The average result of a DRN is an 8. The average result of a Cursed Luck DRN is around 4.25, so Cursed Luck effectively:
+  * Reduces Defense Skill for melee attacks, and possibly the Shield Parry in [[Precision#missile-combat|missile combat]], by an average of 1.875
+  * Increases [[Protection#damage-types|Armor-Negating]] Damage on them by an average of 1.875
+    * Due to critical hits, this increase is **higher** for hits that respect Protection, though never enough to out-scale Protection.
+    * For a person with 10 max [[Hit Points|HP]], this also means each AN hit is around 18.75% more likely to cause an [[Afflictions|Affliction]]!
+Does the effect apply to anything else? Perhaps. The public information on this is two games out-of-date.
+{{:abilities:fateweaving.png?nolink }} **Fateweaving** is the most common source of this thing; attackers of Fateweavers, if their attempts aren't stopped by [[Petrification]], [[Awe]], or ??Vine Shield?? shenanigans, have their Luck cursed if they fail a [[Magic Resistance]] check versus the indicated value.
+===== One Other Important Thing =====
+{{:abilities:luck.png?nolink }} Cursed Luck negates [[Luck]]! Luck gives a fallback 75% chance to not take damage from hits that would kill, as long as they aren't [[instakill|instakills]]. Cursed Luck shuts this lifesaving ability off completely.